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For Jim Pearce - USA Energy and GDP 1973 to 1979

Year..Energy(mtoe)..delta..GDP (billions)...delta
1973....1788.0....................$17,365.60
1974....1739.1.....-2.73%...$17,278.00.....-0.50%
1975....1691.6.....-2.73%...$17,244.90.....-0.19%
1976....1781.7......5.33%...$18,163.70......5.33%
1977....1823.1......2.32%...$19,002.20......4.62%
1978....1863.6......2.22%...$20,060.10......5.57%
1979....1886.1......1.21%...$20,693.80......3.16%

I got the energy consumption figures from the 2007 BP Statistical Review , and the GDP numbers from Data 360 . GDP figures are in constant 2000 dollars.

You'll notice that contrary to your assertions American energy consumption did grow, and the American GDP did not rise continuously over this period. In fact, in the years when energy consumption dropped, so did GDP. This small sample doesn't illustrate Kummel and Ayres' contention that there is a 0.7:1 ratio between GDP and energy, but it does show that the directionality of the model is consistent.



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Topic - For Jim Pearce - USA Energy and GDP 1973 to 1979 - GliderGuider 06:16:32 06/13/07 (8)

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