In Reply to: Also, your link offers only speculation that the decline is not voluntary.... posted by rditmars on March 2, 2007 at 09:01:20:
Saudi Oil Minister: "Hi! Yes it's true, our oil production has started to decline, and it will never recover. Have a nice day."I don't think so - the Saudis have declared all oil data to be state secrets.
All the insights we have about the state of Saudi oil fields are from data analysis and inference. However, starting with Matt Simmons' reverse engineering in his book "Twilight in the Desert", watching what the Saudis do as opposed to what they say, and carefully crunching the numbers that are available, the implications seem to point in one direction only.
Price is a lousy signal of the state of the underlying geology because it is subject to significant above-ground influences.
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Follow Ups
- Do you really think Saudi Arabia is going to open their burqa to the West? - GliderGuider 03/2/0710:13:46 03/2/07 (0)