Ivan, that paper is garbage....

So these scientists created a model using data that is suspect for a cruise ship pandemic in December, right? Pardon me if I'm skeptical of their results. Even they can't say that infections came from presymptomatic and symptomatic cases or asymptomatic. Everything that I've read indicates that asymptomatic transmission is an open question and many believe that it's rare.

The data did not allow identification of the infectiousness of asymptomatic infections, however low ranges (0-25%) required a net reproduction number for individuals progressing through presymptomatic and symptomatic stages of at least 15. Asymptomatic SARS-CoV-2 infections may contribute substantially to transmission. Control measures, and models projecting their potential impact, need to look beyond the symptomatic cases if they are to understand and address ongoing transmission.

-Rod

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Follow Ups Full Thread

Topic - "Asymptomatic SARSCoV2 infections contributed substantially to transmission... - Ivan303 13:12:28 08/26/20 (21)

Ivan, that paper is garbage.... - Rod M 08/26/2017:18:32 08/26/20 (1)

RE: Ivan, that paper is garbage.... - b.l.zeebub 03:14:13 08/27/20 (0)

RE: "Asymptomatic SARSCoV2 infections contributed substantially to transmission... - Krav Maga 16:35:03 08/26/20 (16)

RE: "Asymptomatic SARSCoV2 infections contributed substantially to transmission... - Rod M 18:06:56 08/26/20 (15)

Your fake news or my fake news... - Ivan303 18:28:33 08/26/20 (14)

RE: Your fake news or my fake news... - Rod M 20:19:19 08/26/20 (13)

RE: "We can't get the COVID results quickly because we're overwhelming the labs with too many tests" - Ivan303 06:12:20 08/27/20 (9)

California did 85.658 tests yesterday.... - Rod M 11:56:56 08/27/20 (1)

RE: California did 85.658 tests yesterday.... - Ivan303 13:00:08 08/27/20 (0)

Most solid post I've read on central regarding dealing with COVID... - musetap 10:22:35 08/27/20 (0)

RE: CORRECTION! We're number four... - Ivan303 07:55:04 08/27/20 (5)

CORRECTION! We're NOT number four... - Rod M 13:07:32 08/27/20 (2)

You're right. - b.l.zeebub 13:46:59 08/27/20 (1)

We're in the Top 10! What's that, like, a nickel medal?... N/T - musetap 14:24:45 08/27/20 (0)

What is the per capita number? . - Rod M 11:37:18 08/27/20 (1)

Chart is based on deaths per million population... - Ivan303 12:39:53 08/27/20 (0)

RE: Your fake news or my fake news... - immatthewj 21:41:54 08/26/20 (2)

Indeed... - musetap 21:51:36 08/26/20 (1)

A thousand a day less. /n - Ivan303 06:15:12 08/27/20 (0)

Hey relax... there's a (post Easter) miracle around the corner AND... - musetap 15:43:29 08/26/20 (0)

After every trick in the book... - G Squared 13:33:21 08/26/20 (0)

Follow Ups

Ivan, that paper is garbage.... - Rod M 08/26/2017:18:32 08/26/20 (1)

RE: Ivan, that paper is garbage.... - b.l.zeebub 03:14:13 08/27/20 (0)

Ivan, that paper is garbage....

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