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The problem with counting the protests

Although the protests were large, they were still just a tiny percentage of the population, hundreds out of hundreds of thousands, thousands out of millions, etc. Unless you test the protesters, and count their results separately, you'll never know whether there was increased spreading from the protests because it would be buried in the aggregate numbers.

Second, it's impossible to trace cases that may have originated in the protests. It's much easier to trace cases that originated from a party.

I've posted this a couple of times before, but Boston set up dozens of temporary test stations for a week specifically for the protesters, and reported their numbers separately from aggregate numbers. The difference in positivity rate was 2.5% vs. 1.8% overall for the week. That hints at a small bump from the protests, but I don't know if it's statistically significant.



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