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In Reply to: Ho ho. Neil "the sky is falling!" Ferguson resigns in disgrace... posted by regmac on May 7, 2020 at 06:51:31:
I've been following the YYG model lately:
https://covid19-projections.com/#view-projections
I found this after seeing various media and politicians referring to the IHME model, which continued to make laughably bad predictions all through April.
Note this model comes from a data scientist who doesn't have epidemiology credentials. But he seems to be doing better than most so far.
You can find a compendium of different national and state by state model forecasts on the CDC site here:
https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/covid-data/forecasting-us.html
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Follow Ups
- There's a lot of different models - Dave_K 05/7/2011:37:15 05/7/20 (1)
- RE: There's a lot of different models - Mr_Steady 11:45:44 05/7/20 (0)